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Northern Trust (NTRS) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Northern Trust · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 50 calls · price $167.48
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What the company does: Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals.

📈 Northern Trust (NTRS) stock price

$167.48+29.8% over range
Oct 14, 25low $122.72 · high $191.47Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
17% recommend buying · 12 analysts
📊 JPI status : Northern Trust has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 NTRS price target & analyst consensus — price $167

The price target · all analysts combined (12 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 12$200+19.4%
Median target · of 12 targets$185.5+10.8%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 12$169+0.9%
Current price$167.48
Where these 12 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 12100% $169 ↔ $200
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: RBC Capital — 73% of its targets hit on this sector (479 calls tested). It aims for $178 (+6.3 %), call made on July 24, 2026, maturing on July 24, 2027 (82 d ago).

The 8 reliable analysts $186+11 %
The 4 other firms $181+7.8 %
How to read it: the 8 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 8 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $186 median. “The 4 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 12 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy217%
Hold867%
Sell217%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Northern Trust? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 Northern Trust dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

1.82%annual yield
That's ~$3.20 per share per year.

📈 Northern Trust fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 14.4Net margin 24.7 %Revenue growth +36.4 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 19 %
2023
Rev +0%Profit −18%
2024
Rev +22%Profit +87%
2025
Rev −2%Profit −15%

🏛️ Northern Trust insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought2 buys / 6 mo $83k

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on NTRS

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
Jefferies ↗ 100% +18.3% 5
ISI Group 100% +15.7% 4
Rafferty Capital 100% +14.0% 2
Raymond James ↗ 100% +2.8% 2
Wells Fargo ↗ 71% +9.3% 7
RBC Capital ↗ 69% +17.0% 13
Piper Sandler ↗ 67% +4.9% 3
B of A Securities ↗ 57% +12.2% 7
Citigroup ↗ 50% -5.2% 2
Deutsche Bank ↗ 36% -11.9% 14
See the other 8 firms
Wolfe Research ↗ 0% -34.9% 2
JP Morgan ↗ 0% -18.4% 3
Buckingham Research 0% -14.4% 2
Goldman Sachs ↗ 12% -22.7% 8
UBS ↗ 17% -14.2% 6
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ 25% -22.4% 4
Morgan Stanley ↗ 33% -21.9% 30
Credit Suisse 33% -7.0% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in Northern Trust would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Northern Trust 10 years ago would be worth $2,928 today, i.e. +11%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+47%), worst: 2022 (-16%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Northern Trust

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,577+58%
3 years ago$1,825+82%
5 years ago$1,827+83%
→ See Northern Trust's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Northern Trust)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+21%$1,215 (+21%)
2025+30%$1,577 (+58%)
2024+34%$2,117 (+112%)
→ See Northern Trust's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Northern Trust

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on NTRS

BMO Capital ↗
Oct 6, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$190
Price at call : $169.46 — upside +12%
Today : $167.48 — upside +13%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.1% · +2.8% (268 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
Citigroup ↗
Oct 5, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$186
Price at call : $169.46 — gap to target +10%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 5, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Oct 2, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $170.67 — gap to target +8%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 2, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$183
Price at call : $171.4 — gap to target +7%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.1% · +0.9% (245 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Aug 4, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$185.5
Price at call : $184.38 — gap to target +1%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 23, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$173
Price at call : $180.52 — upside -4%
Today : $167.48 — upside +3%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jul 23, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$178
Price at call : $180.52 — gap to target -1%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
Barclays ↗
Jul 23, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$189
Price at call : $180.52 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 23, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$194
Price at call : $177.95 — gap to target +9%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
▼ Underperform · 🎯$175
Price at call : $183.55 — upside -5%
Today : $167.48 — upside +4%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$200
Price at call : $181.39 — upside +10%
Today : $167.48 — upside +19%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +4.2% (452 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$179
Price at call : $181.39 — gap to target -1%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.1% · +0.9% (245 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Jul 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$179.5
Price at call : $181.14 — gap to target -1%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
Citigroup ↗
Jun 30, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$172
Price at call : $175.6 — gap to target -2%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 30, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 29, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$170
Price at call : $173.84 — upside -2%
Today : $167.48 — upside +2%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$186
Price at call : $174.91 — gap to target +6%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 24, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$189
Price at call : $175.97 — gap to target +7%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 24, 27
JP Morgan ↗
May 11, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $162.35 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Apr 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$169
Price at call : $165.39 — gap to target +2%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +4.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $165.39 — gap to target +6%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$178
Price at call : $165.39 — upside +8%
Today : $167.48 — upside +6%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Barclays ↗
Apr 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$176
Price at call : $167.83 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$176
Price at call : $167.83 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Apr 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$151
Price at call : $143.32 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +4.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Apr 6, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$168
Price at call : $143.32 — upside +17%
Today : $167.48 — upside +0%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.1% · +2.8% (268 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $142.25 — gap to target +9%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Mar 26, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$159
Price at call : $134.99 — upside +18%
Today : $167.48 — upside -5%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 28, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$148
Price at call : $150.66 — upside -2%
Today : $167.48 — upside -12%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +4.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
Citigroup ↗
Jan 28, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$162
Price at call : $150.66 — gap to target +8%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
TD Cowen ↗
Jan 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $149.96 — upside +17%
Today : $167.48 — upside +4%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 39% · -6.5% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 26, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 23, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $149.65 — upside -6%
Today : $167.48 — upside -16%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jan 23, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$159
Price at call : $149.65 — upside +6%
Today : $167.48 — upside -5%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 23, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $149.65 — gap to target +0%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $148.63 — gap to target +4%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.1% · +0.9% (245 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
TD Cowen ↗
Jan 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $144.36 — upside +14%
Today : $167.48 — upside -1%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 39% · -6.5% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
Barclays ↗
Jan 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $144.12 — gap to target +11%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 5, 27
Citigroup ↗
Dec 30, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$143
Price at call : $138.13 — gap to target +4%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 30, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Dec 17, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $138.33 — upside -5%
Today : $167.48 — upside -22%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 17, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$125
Price at call : $126.03 — upside -1%
Today : $167.48 — upside -25%
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
TD Cowen ↗
Oct 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $126.03 — upside +23%
Today : $167.48 — upside -7%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 39% · -6.5% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$139
Price at call : $126.03 — gap to target +10%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 23, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$131
Price at call : $124.74 — gap to target +5%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 3, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$127
Price at call : $132.21 — gap to target -4%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Oct 3, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$142
Price at call : $132.4 — gap to target +7%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.1% · +2.8% (268 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$142
Price at call : $132.4 — gap to target +7%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 2, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $131.2 — gap to target +3%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.1% · +0.9% (245 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Sep 29, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $134.6 — upside -3%
Today : $167.48 — upside -22%
Expected -3% · Actual +26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
-25.8%
stock +26% · XLF -1%
matured Sep 29, 26
Citigroup ↗
Sep 5, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $127.43 — gap to target +6%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 5, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$132
Price at call : $128.49 — gap to target +3%
Today : $167.48 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on NTRS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +6.0% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$118
Price at call : $130.03 — upside -9%
Today : $167.48 — upside -30%
Expected -9% · Actual +40% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NTRS : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
-40.4%
stock +40% · XLF +6%
matured Jul 24, 26

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Northern Trust stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Northern Trust, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $186 (+11% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (5 calls tracked on Northern Trust). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Northern Trust? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Northern Trust is $200 (+19% above today's price); the average is $186. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Northern Trust on our site before trusting it.

Is Northern Trust still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 18 analysts have a real record on Northern Trust, the best hitting 100% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Northern Trust? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in NTRS (and why hesitate).

What has Northern Trust's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: NTRS performance & returns.

Does Northern Trust pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: NTRS's dividend.

Are insiders buying NTRS stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on NTRS.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)