Talen Energy (TLN) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Talen Energy · Utilities · ref. ETF XLU · 50 calls · price $382.14
What the company does: Talen Energy Corporation, an independent power producer and infrastructure company, produces and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale power markets in the United States.
📈 Talen Energy (TLN) stock price
$382.14-8.5% over range
Oct 14, 25low $282.15 · high $438.12Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
71% recommend buying · 7 analysts
📊 JPI status : Talen Energy has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 TLN price target & analyst consensus — price $382
The price target · all analysts combined (7 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 7$514+34.5%
Median target · of 7 targets$470+23.0%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 7$405+6.0%
Current price$382.14
Where these 7 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
7100%
$405 ↔ $514
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Mizuho — 70% of its targets hit on this sector (30 calls tested). It aims for $405 (+6.0 %), call made on August 25, 2026, maturing on August 25, 2027 (50 d ago).
The 4 reliable analysts
$415+8.6 %
The 3 other firms
$499+31 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $415 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 7 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy571%
Hold229%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 TLN price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on TLN most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in TLN? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Talen Energy? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
📈 Talen Energy fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E —Net margin -4.9 %Revenue growth +111.2 %Not (yet) profitable
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
2023
marg. 24 %
2024
Rev −17%Profit +63%
2025
Rev +22%Profit −122%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on TLN
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guggenheim ↗ | 100% | +164.4% | 2 |
| BWS Financial | 100% | +152.4% | 7 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 100% | +97.6% | 2 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 100% | +79.7% | 2 |
| Oppenheimer ↗ | 100% | +77.5% | 3 |
| UBS ↗ | 83% | +45.1% | 6 |
| Barclays ↗ | 78% | +55.1% | 9 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 67% | +14.5% | 3 |
| Seaport Global ↗ | 50% | +46.1% | 2 |
| Melius Research ↗ | 0% | -17.1% | 2 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Talen Energy would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Talen Energy 10 years ago would be worth $8,264 today, i.e. +102%/yr on average. Best year: 2024 (+237%), worst: 2025 (+84%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Talen Energy
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,782 | +78% |
| 3 years ago | $8,264 | +726% |
Return by year (Talen Energy)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -3% | $969 (-3%) |
| 2025 | +84% | $1,782 (+78%) |
| 2024 | +237% | $6,004 (+500%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Talen Energy
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📋 All analyst calls on TLN
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Morgan Stanley ↗
Sep 18, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$514
Price at call : $299.97 — upside +71%
Today : $382.14 — upside +35%
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 27
matures : Sep 18, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$405
Price at call : $305.54 — upside +33%
Today : $382.14 — upside +6%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 60% · +1.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 24, 27
matures : Aug 24, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 21, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$503
Price at call : $305.54 — upside +65%
Today : $382.14 — upside +32%
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
matures : Aug 21, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$501
Price at call : $347.71 — upside +44%
Today : $382.14 — upside +31%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
matures : Aug 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$408
Price at call : $326.05 — upside +25%
Today : $382.14 — upside +7%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 28, 27
matures : Jul 28, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$482
Price at call : $326.05 — upside +48%
Today : $382.14 — upside +26%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 27, 27
matures : Jul 27, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$422
Price at call : $366.14 — gap to target +15%
Today : $382.14 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 55.3% · +5.5% (38 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 20, 27
matures : Jul 20, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Jul 15, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$470
Price at call : $368.29 — gap to target +28%
Today : $382.14 — gap to target +23%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 62.5% · +11.7% (8 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
matures : Jul 15, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jun 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$499
Price at call : $436.29 — upside +14%
Today : $382.14 — upside +31%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 60% · +9.4% (5 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 27
matures : Jun 18, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$411
Price at call : $314.57 — upside +31%
Today : $382.14 — upside +8%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 19, 27
matures : May 19, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$477
Price at call : $390.55 — upside +22%
Today : $382.14 — upside +25%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$408
Price at call : $339.32 — upside +20%
Today : $382.14 — upside +7%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
matures : Apr 21, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$421
Price at call : $302.97 — upside +39%
Today : $382.14 — upside +10%
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.3% · +3.6% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 19, 27
matures : Mar 19, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$425
Price at call : $354.62 — upside +20%
Today : $382.14 — upside +11%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
matures : Feb 11, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 20, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$506
Price at call : $374.31 — upside +35%
Today : $382.14 — upside +32%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
matures : Jan 20, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$470
Price at call : $371.66 — upside +26%
Today : $382.14 — upside +23%
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 27
matures : Jan 16, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$457
Price at call : $369.03 — upside +24%
Today : $382.14 — upside +20%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
matures : Jan 9, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 6, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$445
Price at call : $386.57 — upside +15%
Today : $382.14 — upside +16%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
matures : Nov 6, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$441
Price at call : $398.55 — upside +11%
Today : $382.14 — upside +15%
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
matures : Oct 28, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$453
Price at call : $398.55 — upside +14%
Today : $382.14 — upside +19%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 40% · -2.4% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
matures : Oct 28, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$439
Price at call : $380.69 — upside +15%
Today : $382.14 — upside +15%
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 26
matures : Oct 21, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$442
Price at call : $382.09 — upside +16%
Today : $382.14 — upside +16%
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.3% · +3.6% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
matures : Oct 20, 26
Seaport Global ↗
Oct 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$496
Price at call : $444.5 — upside +12%
Today : $382.14 — upside +30%
Expected +12% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 43.6% · -0.8% (117 calls)
-14.8%
stock -15% · XLU -9%
matured Oct 8, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Sep 22, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$418
Price at call : $423.13 — gap to target -1%
Today : $382.14 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on TLN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Utilities : 62.5% · +11.7% (8 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 22, 26
matures : Sep 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$440
Price at call : $400.92 — upside +10%
Today : $382.14 — upside +15%
Expected +10% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
-22.0%
stock -22% · XLU -0%
matured Sep 11, 26
Melius Research ↗
Sep 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$576
Price at call : $400.92 — upside +44%
Today : $382.14 — upside +51%
Expected +44% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 50% · +0.3% (8 calls)
-22.0%
stock -22% · XLU -0%
matured Sep 10, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Sep 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$430
Price at call : $402.65 — upside +7%
Today : $382.14 — upside +13%
Expected +7% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
-22.6%
stock -23% · XLU +1%
matured Sep 10, 26
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Sep 9, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$450
Price at call : $402.65 — upside +12%
Today : $382.14 — upside +18%
Expected +12% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 33.3% · -7.1% (12 calls)
-22.6%
stock -23% · XLU +1%
matured Sep 9, 26
Melius Research ↗
Aug 20, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$427
Price at call : $357.86 — upside +19%
Today : $382.14 — upside +12%
Expected +19% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 50% · +0.3% (8 calls)
-12.1%
stock -12% · XLU -0%
matured Aug 20, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$418
Price at call : $380.6 — upside +10%
Today : $382.14 — upside +9%
Expected +10% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
-4.7%
stock -5% · XLU +3%
matured Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$431
Price at call : $358.77 — upside +20%
Today : $382.14 — upside +13%
Expected +20% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.2% · +3.6% (39 calls)
-3.3%
stock -3% · XLU +9%
matured Jul 25, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$353
Price at call : $313.58 — upside +13%
Today : $382.14 — upside -8%
Expected +13% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
+20.4%
stock +20% · XLU +8%
matured Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$399
Price at call : $310.14 — upside +29%
Today : $382.14 — upside +4%
Expected +29% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.2% · +3.6% (39 calls)
+16.2%
stock +16% · XLU +7%
matured Jul 18, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$359
Price at call : $310.14 — upside +16%
Today : $382.14 — upside -6%
Expected +16% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
+16.2%
stock +16% · XLU +7%
matured Jul 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$380
Price at call : $310.14 — upside +23%
Today : $382.14 — upside -1%
Expected +23% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 55.3% · +5.5% (38 calls)
+16.2%
stock +16% · XLU +7%
matured Jul 18, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$330
Price at call : $328.63 — upside +0%
Today : $382.14 — upside -14%
Expected +0% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
+9.6%
stock +10% · XLU +7%
matured Jul 18, 26
Oppenheimer ↗
Jul 11, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$315
Price at call : $281.96 — upside +12%
Today : $382.14 — upside -18%
Expected +12% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 57.1% · +10.9% (14 calls)
+40.6%
stock +41% · XLU +10%
matured Jul 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$366
Price at call : $297.88 — upside +23%
Today : $382.14 — upside -4%
Expected +23% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.2% · +3.6% (39 calls)
+34.1%
stock +34% · XLU +13%
matured Jun 27, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jun 13, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$314
Price at call : $280.92 — upside +12%
Today : $382.14 — upside -18%
Expected +12% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 61.5% · +5.3% (13 calls)
+37.5%
stock +37% · XLU +10%
matured Jun 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$259
Price at call : $200.23 — upside +29%
Today : $382.14 — upside -32%
Expected +29% · Actual +63% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.2% · +3.6% (39 calls)
+62.8%
stock +63% · XLU +19%
matured Apr 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$265
Price at call : $197.48 — upside +34%
Today : $382.14 — upside -31%
Expected +34% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.3% · +3.6% (35 calls)
+58.5%
stock +59% · XLU +18%
matured Mar 28, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Mar 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$243
Price at call : $199.09 — upside +22%
Today : $382.14 — upside -36%
Expected +22% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 54.2% · +2.8% (59 calls)
+56.4%
stock +56% · XLU +21%
matured Mar 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$282
Price at call : $195.76 — upside +44%
Today : $382.14 — upside -26%
Expected +44% · Actual +72% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
+71.9%
stock +72% · XLU +21%
matured Mar 4, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 3, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$253
Price at call : $230.85 — upside +10%
Today : $382.14 — upside -34%
Expected +10% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.6% · -1.3% (58 calls)
+47.9%
stock +48% · XLU +10%
matured Feb 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$293
Price at call : $192.16 — upside +52%
Today : $382.14 — upside -23%
Expected +52% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
+87.1%
stock +87% · XLU +12%
matured Jan 27, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$269
Price at call : $215.59 — upside +25%
Today : $382.14 — upside -30%
Expected +25% · Actual +83% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 46.2% · +3.6% (39 calls)
+83.3%
stock +83% · XLU +11%
matured Jan 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$245
Price at call : $209.22 — upside +17%
Today : $382.14 — upside -36%
Expected +17% · Actual +71% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 64.3% · +9.7% (70 calls)
+71.1%
stock +71% · XLU +12%
matured Dec 13, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Dec 9, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$250
Price at call : $208.68 — upside +20%
Today : $382.14 — upside -35%
Expected +20% · Actual +67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Utilities : 57.1% · +10.9% (14 calls)
+66.9%
stock +67% · XLU +9%
matured Dec 9, 25
Daiwa Capital ↗
Dec 4, 24
▲ Buy
Actual +66% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TLN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+66.0%
stock +66% · XLU +9%
matured Dec 4, 25
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Talen Energy stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Talen Energy, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $470 (+23% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Talen Energy). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Talen Energy? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Talen Energy is $514 (+35% above today's price); the average is $470. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Talen Energy on our site before trusting it.
Is Talen Energy still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 10 analysts have a real record on Talen Energy, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Talen Energy? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in TLN (and why hesitate).
What has Talen Energy's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: TLN performance & returns.
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