Logo Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 150 calls · price $43.67
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What the company does: Advance Auto Parts, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and supplier of a comprehensive array of automotive replacement components, accessories, batteries, and essential maintenance supplies.

📈 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) stock price

$43.67-27.8% over range
Aug 28, 25low $38.75 · high $64.17Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
0% recommend buying · 14 analysts
📊 JPI status : Advance Auto Parts, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 AAP price target & analyst consensusprice $43.67

The price target · all analysts combined (14 targets)
Highest target · 2 firms of 14$65+48.8%
Median target · of 14 targets$50+14.5%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 14$40-8.4%
Current price$43.67
Where these 14 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 1286% $45 ↔ $65
Below 214% $40 ↔ $43
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS58% of its targets hit on this sector (157 calls tested). It aims for $47 (+7.6 %), call made on August 22, 2026, maturing on August 22, 2027 (6 d ago).

The 2 reliable analysts $46+5.3 %
The 12 other firms $51+17 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 2 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $46 median. “The 12 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 14 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy00%
Hold1393%
Sell17%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Advance Auto Parts, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)?

1 Congress member has disclosed AAP buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Michael Burgess · 40%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on AAP

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Guggenheim  75% +28.5% 4
Morgan Stanley  74% +26.1% 19
UBS  73% +15.8% 22
RBC Capital  67% +18.5% 6
BTIG  67% -15.8% 3
Wedbush  64% -0.5% 14
JP Morgan  59% +13.6% 17
Credit Suisse 50% +3.2% 6
Barclays  50% -2.9% 4
Atlantic Equities 50% -8.9% 4
See the other 9 firms
Evercore ISI Group  0% -54.9% 2
Truist Securities  0% -47.3% 3
Goldman Sachs  20% -29.2% 10
Citigroup  23% -29.2% 13
Raymond James  29% -23.1% 14
Deutsche Bank  29% -2.0% 7
B of A Securities  38% -7.1% 16
Argus Research  38% -1.4% 8
Jefferies  44% -12.8% 9

📊 What $1,000 invested in Advance Auto Parts, Inc. would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Advance Auto Parts, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $368 today, i.e. -10%/yr on average. Best year: 2018 (+58%), worst: 2023 (-58%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,172+17%
3 years ago$377-62%
5 years ago$352-65%
→ See Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Advance Auto Parts, Inc.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+41%$1,410 (+41%)
2025-17%$1,172 (+17%)
2024-23%$908 (-9%)
→ See Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

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📋 All analyst calls on AAP

Citigroup 
Aug 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +3%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Aug 21, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$40
Price at call : $43.63 — upside -8%
Today : $43.67 — upside -8%
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target -1%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
JP Morgan 
Aug 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +26%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
UBS 
Aug 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +8%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
Barclays 
Aug 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +15%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
Wells Fargo 
Aug 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +15%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +19%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
See the other 142 calls, newest to oldest
TD Cowen 
Aug 21, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $43.63 — gap to target +3%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.5% · -8.5% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
RBC Capital 
Aug 21, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $42.58 — gap to target +22%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.1% · +2.1% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
DA Davidson 
Aug 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $42.58 — gap to target +13%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -2.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
Citigroup 
Aug 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $56.55 — gap to target +1%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +31%
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 27
RBC Capital 
Aug 13, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $56.55 — gap to target +18%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +53%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.1% · +2.1% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $58.83 — gap to target +10%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.7% · -6.4% (52 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 27
Mizuho 
May 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $58.26 — gap to target -0%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30.6% · -14.1% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
Wells Fargo 
May 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $55.13 — gap to target +9%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
RBC Capital 
May 22, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $55.13 — gap to target +18%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.1% · +2.1% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
Citigroup 
May 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $55.13 — gap to target +9%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $55.13 — gap to target +12%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +42%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
Morgan Stanley 
May 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $57.95 — gap to target +12%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
Goldman Sachs 
May 22, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$54
Price at call : $57.95 — upside -7%
Today : $43.67 — upside +24%
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
BMO Capital 
May 22, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $57.95 — gap to target +12%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.7% · +5.0% (115 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
JP Morgan 
May 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $50.6 — gap to target +17%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +35%
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $49.71 — gap to target +11%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 13, 27
Citigroup 
May 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $49.26 — gap to target +16%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +31%
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 27
RBC Capital 
Feb 17, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $55.93 — gap to target +13%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +44%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.1% · +2.1% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
DA Davidson 
Feb 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $55.93 — gap to target -16%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -2.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $55.93 — gap to target +2%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +31%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
BMO Capital 
Feb 17, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $56.74 — gap to target +6%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.7% · +5.0% (115 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
Wells Fargo 
Feb 11, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $58.22 — gap to target -14%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $59.63 — gap to target +1%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.7% · -6.4% (52 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
DA Davidson 
Feb 5, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $55.3 — gap to target -15%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -2.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 27
TD Cowen 
Jan 20, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $45.53 — gap to target +1%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.5% · -8.5% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Jan 15, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $43.2 — gap to target +4%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 15, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $44.07 — gap to target +27%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +28%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.7% · -6.4% (52 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $49.05 — gap to target +18%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.7% · -6.4% (52 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 9, 26
Citigroup 
Oct 31, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $47.41 — gap to target +16%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 31, 26
JP Morgan 
Oct 31, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $47.41 — gap to target +31%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +42%
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 31, 26
DA Davidson 
Oct 31, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $47.41 — gap to target +16%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -2.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 31, 26
Roth Capital
Oct 27, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $57 — gap to target -4%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 27, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $55.34 — gap to target -10%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Sep 12, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $64.17 — gap to target -6%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 12, 26
Argus Research 
Aug 29, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60.52
Price at call : $59.57 — gap to target +2%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +39%
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 29, 26
Mizuho 
Aug 29, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $59.57 — gap to target -9%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +24%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30.6% · -14.1% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 29, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $56.6 — gap to target +6%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.7% · -6.4% (52 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 26
Wells Fargo 
Aug 15, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $56.84 — gap to target -12%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 15, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $56.84 — gap to target -3%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $56.84 — gap to target -7%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 26
DA Davidson 
Aug 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $56.84 — gap to target +11%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +44%
🎯 on AAP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -2.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 26
UBS 
Aug 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $61.81 — gap to target +5%
Today : $43.67 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 24, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$46
Price at call : $48.26 — upside -5%
Today : $43.67 — upside +5%
Expected -5% · Actual +20% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-20.1%
stock +20% · XLY +7%
matured Jun 24, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$39
Price at call : $49.6 — upside -21%
Today : $43.67 — upside -11%
Expected -21% · Actual +11% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-11.2%
stock +11% · XLY +10%
matured May 23, 26
Wedbush 
Mar 3, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $35.41 — upside +55%
Today : $43.67 — upside +26%
Expected +55% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+46.6%
stock +47% · XLY +8%
matured Mar 3, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$33
Price at call : $36.96 — upside -11%
Today : $43.67 — upside -24%
Expected -11% · Actual +44% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-43.9%
stock +44% · XLY +10%
matured Feb 27, 26
Wedbush 
Nov 15, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $40.09 — upside +37%
Today : $43.67 — upside +26%
Expected +37% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+22.1%
stock +22% · XLY +6%
matured Nov 15, 25
Wedbush 
Oct 15, 24
▲ Outperform
Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+35.8%
stock +36% · XLY +19%
matured Oct 15, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $70.64 — upside -22%
Today : $43.67 — upside +26%
Expected -22% · Actual -30% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
+29.6%
stock -30% · XLY +22%
matured May 30, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$43
Price at call : $53.42 — upside -20%
Today : $43.67 — upside -2%
Expected -20% · Actual -29% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
+29.4%
stock -29% · XLY +29%
matured Nov 15, 24
Citigroup 
May 17, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$126
Price at call : $121.48 — upside +4%
Today : $43.67 — upside +189%
Expected +4% · Actual -39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-38.6%
stock -39% · XLY +17%
matured May 16, 24
Argus Research 
Mar 13, 23
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $145.53 — upside +27%
Today : $43.67 — upside +324%
Expected +27% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
-62.1%
stock -62% · XLY +23%
matured Dec 6, 23
Jefferies 
Nov 18, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $147.5 — upside +22%
Today : $43.67 — upside +312%
Expected +22% · Actual -64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
-64.0%
stock -64% · XLY +19%
matured Nov 18, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Nov 17, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$197
Price at call : $148.31 — upside +33%
Today : $43.67 — upside +351%
Expected +33% · Actual -66% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-66.1%
stock -66% · XLY +19%
matured Nov 17, 23
Wedbush 
Nov 16, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $156.24 — upside +6%
Today : $43.67 — upside +278%
Expected +6% · Actual -66% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-65.8%
stock -66% · XLY +16%
matured Nov 16, 23
Citigroup 
Sep 3, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$216
Price at call : $173.34 — upside +25%
Today : $43.67 — upside +395%
Expected +25% · Actual -61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-61.0%
stock -61% · XLY +9%
matured Sep 3, 23
Jefferies 
Aug 26, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $173.59 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +381%
Expected +21% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
-62.2%
stock -62% · XLY +4%
matured Aug 26, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$236
Price at call : $173.59 — upside +36%
Today : $43.67 — upside +440%
Expected +36% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-62.2%
stock -62% · XLY +4%
matured Aug 25, 23
UBS 
Aug 24, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $179.91 — upside +28%
Today : $43.67 — upside +427%
Expected +28% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-62.3%
stock -62% · XLY -1%
matured Aug 24, 23
Wedbush 
Aug 24, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$200
Price at call : $179.91 — upside +11%
Today : $43.67 — upside +358%
Expected +11% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-62.3%
stock -62% · XLY -1%
matured Aug 24, 23
Jefferies 
Aug 9, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $191.77 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +404%
Expected +15% · Actual -63% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
-62.9%
stock -63% · XLY +5%
matured Aug 9, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 27, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$219
Price at call : $178.75 — upside +23%
Today : $43.67 — upside +401%
Expected +23% · Actual -62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-61.9%
stock -62% · XLY +20%
matured Jun 27, 23
Wedbush 
May 24, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$215
Price at call : $180.23 — upside +19%
Today : $43.67 — upside +392%
Expected +19% · Actual -36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-36.1%
stock -36% · XLY +8%
matured May 24, 23
Citigroup 
May 13, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$250
Price at call : $211.21 — upside +18%
Today : $43.67 — upside +472%
Expected +18% · Actual -42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-42.3%
stock -42% · XLY -3%
matured May 13, 23
UBS 
May 10, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$275
Price at call : $201.07 — upside +37%
Today : $43.67 — upside +530%
Expected +37% · Actual -38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-38.3%
stock -38% · XLY +2%
matured May 10, 23
UBS 
Feb 17, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$285
Price at call : $218.8 — upside +30%
Today : $43.67 — upside +553%
Expected +30% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-34.1%
stock -34% · XLY -19%
matured Feb 17, 23
Citigroup 
Feb 16, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$294
Price at call : $222.39 — upside +32%
Today : $43.67 — upside +573%
Expected +32% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-32.5%
stock -32% · XLY -19%
matured Feb 16, 23
JP Morgan 
Feb 15, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$282
Price at call : $222.39 — upside +27%
Today : $43.67 — upside +546%
Expected +27% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-32.5%
stock -32% · XLY -19%
matured Feb 15, 23
JP Morgan 
Feb 11, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$280
Price at call : $224.28 — upside +25%
Today : $43.67 — upside +541%
Expected +25% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-32.1%
stock -32% · XLY -17%
matured Feb 11, 23
Argus Research 
Dec 15, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $239.16 — upside +9%
Today : $43.67 — upside +495%
Expected +9% · Actual -41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
-41.4%
stock -41% · XLY -32%
matured Dec 15, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$282
Price at call : $231.92 — upside +22%
Today : $43.67 — upside +546%
Expected +22% · Actual -36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-36.4%
stock -36% · XLY -33%
matured Nov 17, 22
Jefferies 
Nov 17, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$268
Price at call : $232.55 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +514%
Expected +15% · Actual -36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
-36.2%
stock -36% · XLY -32%
matured Nov 17, 22
Citigroup 
Nov 16, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$290
Price at call : $235.69 — upside +23%
Today : $43.67 — upside +564%
Expected +23% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-33.7%
stock -34% · XLY -31%
matured Nov 16, 22
UBS 
Nov 10, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$265
Price at call : $238.45 — upside +11%
Today : $43.67 — upside +507%
Expected +11% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-21.8%
stock -22% · XLY -29%
matured Nov 10, 22
JP Morgan 
Oct 18, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$276
Price at call : $224.14 — upside +23%
Today : $43.67 — upside +532%
Expected +23% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-23.6%
stock -24% · XLY -26%
matured Oct 18, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$225
Price at call : $201.88 — upside +11%
Today : $43.67 — upside +415%
Expected +11% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
-14.7%
stock -15% · XLY -15%
matured Sep 1, 22
Citigroup 
Aug 25, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$250
Price at call : $208.82 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +472%
Expected +20% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-16.9%
stock -17% · XLY -11%
matured Aug 25, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$256
Price at call : $212.24 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +486%
Expected +21% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-14.7%
stock -15% · XLY -9%
matured Aug 25, 22
Jefferies 
Aug 25, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $212.24 — upside +13%
Today : $43.67 — upside +450%
Expected +13% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
-14.7%
stock -15% · XLY -9%
matured Aug 25, 22
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 25, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $212.24 — upside +4%
Today : $43.67 — upside +404%
Expected +4% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-14.7%
stock -15% · XLY -9%
matured Aug 25, 22
JP Morgan 
Aug 24, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$237
Price at call : $207.78 — upside +14%
Today : $43.67 — upside +443%
Expected +14% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-13.4%
stock -13% · XLY -9%
matured Aug 24, 22
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 17, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$225
Price at call : $207.77 — upside +8%
Today : $43.67 — upside +415%
Expected +8% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+1.1%
stock +1% · XLY -3%
matured Aug 17, 22
Citigroup 
Jul 28, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$248
Price at call : $212.25 — upside +17%
Today : $43.67 — upside +468%
Expected +17% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-10.0%
stock -10% · XLY -14%
matured Jul 28, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$215
Price at call : $197.87 — upside +9%
Today : $43.67 — upside +392%
Expected +9% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
-6.4%
stock -6% · XLY -11%
matured Jun 8, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$223
Price at call : $191.14 — upside +17%
Today : $43.67 — upside +411%
Expected +17% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-0.2%
stock -0% · XLY -10%
matured Jun 3, 22
Citigroup 
Jun 3, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$232
Price at call : $191.14 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +431%
Expected +21% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-0.2%
stock -0% · XLY -10%
matured Jun 3, 22
UBS 
May 25, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $188 — upside +22%
Today : $43.67 — upside +427%
Expected +22% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-1.4%
stock -1% · XLY -17%
matured May 25, 22
Goldman Sachs 
May 4, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$227
Price at call : $204.15 — upside +11%
Today : $43.67 — upside +420%
Expected +11% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
+1.7%
stock +2% · XLY -4%
matured May 4, 22
Wedbush 
Apr 21, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$230
Price at call : $200.3 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +427%
Expected +15% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+9.0%
stock +9% · XLY -0%
matured Apr 21, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$216
Price at call : $200.3 — upside +8%
Today : $43.67 — upside +395%
Expected +8% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
+9.0%
stock +9% · XLY -0%
matured Apr 21, 22
JP Morgan 
Apr 21, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$227
Price at call : $200.3 — upside +13%
Today : $43.67 — upside +420%
Expected +13% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+9.0%
stock +9% · XLY -0%
matured Apr 21, 22
Citigroup 
Apr 21, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$228
Price at call : $200.3 — upside +14%
Today : $43.67 — upside +422%
Expected +14% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
+9.0%
stock +9% · XLY -0%
matured Apr 21, 22
Jefferies 
Apr 21, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$235
Price at call : $199.87 — upside +18%
Today : $43.67 — upside +438%
Expected +18% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
+12.8%
stock +13% · XLY +1%
matured Apr 21, 22
Morgan Stanley 
Apr 21, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$215
Price at call : $199.87 — upside +8%
Today : $43.67 — upside +392%
Expected +8% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+12.8%
stock +13% · XLY +1%
matured Apr 21, 22
Wedbush 
Apr 16, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$210
Price at call : $192.54 — upside +9%
Today : $43.67 — upside +381%
Expected +9% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+13.4%
stock +13% · XLY +1%
matured Apr 16, 22
UBS 
Apr 12, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $187.41 — upside +17%
Today : $43.67 — upside +404%
Expected +17% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+17.7%
stock +18% · XLY +1%
matured Apr 12, 22
Morgan Stanley 
Mar 31, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$195
Price at call : $183.49 — upside +6%
Today : $43.67 — upside +347%
Expected +6% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+12.8%
stock +13% · XLY +10%
matured Mar 31, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$208
Price at call : $182.99 — upside +14%
Today : $43.67 — upside +376%
Expected +14% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
+12.4%
stock +12% · XLY +8%
matured Mar 19, 22
UBS 
Mar 16, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $181.96 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +381%
Expected +15% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+14.4%
stock +14% · XLY +5%
matured Mar 16, 22
Citigroup 
Mar 9, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$193
Price at call : $176.34 — upside +9%
Today : $43.67 — upside +342%
Expected +9% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
+16.2%
stock +16% · XLY +4%
matured Mar 9, 22
Goldman Sachs 
Feb 16, 21
▼ Sell · 🎯$157
Price at call : $161.82 — upside -3%
Today : $43.67 — upside +260%
Expected -3% · Actual +36% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-36.2%
stock +36% · XLY +6%
matured Feb 16, 22
JP Morgan 
Feb 16, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$199
Price at call : $161.82 — upside +23%
Today : $43.67 — upside +356%
Expected +23% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+36.2%
stock +36% · XLY +6%
matured Feb 16, 22
Goldman Sachs 
Dec 10, 20
▼ Sell · 🎯$142
Price at call : $157.66 — upside -10%
Today : $43.67 — upside +225%
Expected -10% · Actual +49% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-48.5%
stock +49% · XLY +28%
matured Dec 10, 21
Morgan Stanley 
Nov 11, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $156.52 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +335%
Expected +21% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+52.3%
stock +52% · XLY +33%
matured Nov 11, 21
JP Morgan 
Oct 6, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $155.16 — upside +22%
Today : $43.67 — upside +335%
Expected +22% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+36.2%
stock +36% · XLY +23%
matured Oct 6, 21
Argus Research 
Sep 14, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$177
Price at call : $157.31 — upside +13%
Today : $43.67 — upside +305%
Expected +13% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
+27.9%
stock +28% · XLY +24%
matured Sep 14, 21
UBS 
Aug 19, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $157.44 — upside +18%
Today : $43.67 — upside +324%
Expected +18% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+33.2%
stock +33% · XLY +22%
matured Aug 19, 21
Jefferies 
Aug 19, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $160.81 — upside +18%
Today : $43.67 — upside +335%
Expected +18% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
+29.6%
stock +30% · XLY +21%
matured Aug 19, 21
Goldman Sachs 
Aug 19, 20
▼ Sell · 🎯$156
Price at call : $160.81 — upside -3%
Today : $43.67 — upside +257%
Expected -3% · Actual +30% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-29.6%
stock +30% · XLY +21%
matured Aug 19, 21
UBS 
Aug 3, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $152.79 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +301%
Expected +15% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+37.2%
stock +37% · XLY +31%
matured Aug 3, 21
UBS 
Jun 26, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $139.99 — upside +18%
Today : $43.67 — upside +278%
Expected +18% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+46.1%
stock +46% · XLY +44%
matured Jun 26, 21
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 24, 20
▼ Sell · 🎯$137
Price at call : $142.91 — upside -4%
Today : $43.67 — upside +214%
Expected -4% · Actual +43% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-43.0%
stock +43% · XLY +40%
matured Jun 24, 21
Morgan Stanley 
May 21, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$148
Price at call : $134.79 — upside +10%
Today : $43.67 — upside +239%
Expected +10% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+44.6%
stock +45% · XLY +39%
matured May 21, 21
Jefferies 
May 20, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$157
Price at call : $134.79 — upside +16%
Today : $43.67 — upside +260%
Expected +16% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
+44.6%
stock +45% · XLY +39%
matured May 20, 21
Wedbush 
May 20, 20
▲ Outperform · 🎯$150
Price at call : $135.72 — upside +11%
Today : $43.67 — upside +243%
Expected +11% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+45.1%
stock +45% · XLY +40%
matured May 20, 21
UBS 
May 20, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$154
Price at call : $135.72 — upside +13%
Today : $43.67 — upside +253%
Expected +13% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+45.1%
stock +45% · XLY +40%
matured May 20, 21
UBS 
May 11, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $124.5 — upside +12%
Today : $43.67 — upside +221%
Expected +12% · Actual +62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
+62.1%
stock +62% · XLY +46%
matured May 11, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$138
Price at call : $115.4 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +216%
Expected +20% · Actual +68% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
+68.0%
stock +68% · XLY +58%
matured Apr 20, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$135
Price at call : $88.41 — upside +53%
Today : $43.67 — upside +209%
Expected +53% · Actual +107% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+107.3%
stock +107% · XLY +84%
matured Apr 2, 21
Morgan Stanley 
Mar 17, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$175
Price at call : $100.25 — upside +75%
Today : $43.67 — upside +301%
Expected +75% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+81.5%
stock +82% · XLY +83%
matured Mar 17, 21
Morgan Stanley 
Feb 13, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$180
Price at call : $134.67 — upside +34%
Today : $43.67 — upside +312%
Expected +34% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+13.5%
stock +13% · XLY +29%
matured Feb 12, 21
Citigroup 
Sep 13, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$188
Price at call : $157 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +331%
Expected +20% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
+0.2%
stock +0% · XLY +20%
matured Sep 12, 20
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 14, 19
▲ Overweight · 🎯$185
Price at call : $136.49 — upside +36%
Today : $43.67 — upside +324%
Expected +36% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+14.3%
stock +14% · XLY +25%
matured Aug 13, 20
Goldman Sachs 
Jul 11, 19
▼ Sell · 🎯$151
Price at call : $156.29 — upside -3%
Today : $43.67 — upside +246%
Expected -3% · Actual -14% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
+14.0%
stock -14% · XLY +9%
matured Jul 10, 20
▲ Buy
Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
-9.7%
stock -10% · XLY +21%
matured Jan 9, 20
JP Morgan 
Nov 14, 18
▲ Overweight · 🎯$222
Price at call : $177.68 — upside +25%
Today : $43.67 — upside +408%
Expected +25% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-11.7%
stock -12% · XLY +13%
matured Nov 14, 19
▲ Overweight · 🎯$205
Price at call : $170.51 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +369%
Expected +20% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-0.7%
stock -1% · XLY +9%
matured Nov 6, 19
Wedbush 
Oct 26, 18
▲ Outperform · 🎯$185
Price at call : $164.87 — upside +12%
Today : $43.67 — upside +324%
Expected +12% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+0.9%
stock +1% · XLY +18%
matured Oct 26, 19
Morgan Stanley 
Oct 11, 18
▲ Overweight · 🎯$195
Price at call : $161.04 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +347%
Expected +21% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-1.5%
stock -2% · XLY +13%
matured Oct 11, 19
Argus Research 
Sep 17, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$184
Price at call : $167.65 — upside +10%
Today : $43.67 — upside +321%
Expected +10% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
-8.3%
stock -8% · XLY +5%
matured Sep 17, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $137.17 — upside +13%
Today : $43.67 — upside +255%
Expected +13% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
+15.3%
stock +15% · XLY +10%
matured Jul 6, 19
JP Morgan 
Jun 15, 18
▲ Overweight · 🎯$158
Price at call : $137.16 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +262%
Expected +15% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+10.6%
stock +11% · XLY +6%
matured Jun 15, 19
JP Morgan 
May 23, 18
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $123.25 — upside +14%
Today : $43.67 — upside +221%
Expected +14% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+29.7%
stock +30% · XLY +7%
matured May 23, 19
Citigroup 
Nov 16, 17
▼ Sell · 🎯$85
Price at call : $90.5 — upside -6%
Today : $43.67 — upside +95%
Expected -6% · Actual +98% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
-98.0%
stock +98% · XLY +14%
matured Nov 16, 18
JP Morgan 
Nov 15, 17
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $91.58 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +152%
Expected +20% · Actual +96% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
+95.5%
stock +96% · XLY +16%
matured Nov 15, 18
Argus Research 
Sep 18, 17
▲ Buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $94.85 — upside +37%
Today : $43.67 — upside +198%
Expected +37% · Actual +79% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 38% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
+78.8%
stock +79% · XLY +31%
matured Sep 18, 18
Jefferies 
Jul 7, 17
▲ Buy
Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 44% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
+38.3%
stock +38% · XLY +25%
matured Jul 7, 18
Wedbush 
Mar 15, 17
▲ Outperform · 🎯$185
Price at call : $152.92 — upside +21%
Today : $43.67 — upside +324%
Expected +21% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-23.4%
stock -23% · XLY +21%
matured Mar 15, 18
Goldman Sachs 
May 6, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$181
Price at call : $150.52 — upside +20%
Today : $43.67 — upside +314%
Expected +20% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 20% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
-2.4%
stock -2% · XLY +14%
matured May 6, 17
JP Morgan 
Feb 17, 15
▲ Overweight · 🎯$179
Price at call : $150.23 — upside +19%
Today : $43.67 — upside +310%
Expected +19% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAP : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-4.5%
stock -5% · XLY -2%
matured Feb 17, 16
Wedbush 
Sep 11, 14
▲ Outperform · 🎯$155
Price at call : $134.42 — upside +15%
Today : $43.67 — upside +255%
Expected +15% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAP : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+30.1%
stock +30% · XLY +10%
matured Sep 11, 15

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Advance Auto Parts, Inc. stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Advance Auto Parts, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $50.00 (+14% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 75% of the time (4 calls tracked on Advance Auto Parts, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Advance Auto Parts, Inc.? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is $65.00 (+49% above today's price); the average is $50.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Advance Auto Parts, Inc. on our site before trusting it.

Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 19 analysts have a real record on Advance Auto Parts, Inc., the best hitting 75% over 4 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Advance Auto Parts, Inc.? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in AAP (and why hesitate).

What has Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AAP performance & returns.

What is the best month to buy AAP?

The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy AAP.

Are insiders buying AAP stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on AAP.

Other Cons. disc. stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)