Toll Brothers (TOL) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Toll Brothers · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 150 calls · price $145.13
What the company does: Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States.
📈 Toll Brothers (TOL) stock price
$145.13+4.5% over range
Aug 28, 25low $124.14 · high $166.12Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
75% recommend buying · 8 analysts
📊 JPI status : Toll Brothers is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2021, 2017) — its upside may be behind it. See the stocks picked in 2021 →
🎯 TOL price target & analyst consensus — price $145
The price target · all analysts combined (7 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 7$195+34.4%
Median target · of 7 targets$170+17.1%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 7$122-15.9%
Current price$145.13
Where these 7 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
686%
$158 ↔ $195
Below
114%
$122
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 62% of its targets hit on this sector (213 calls tested). It aims for $195 (+34 %), call made on August 21, 2026, maturing on August 21, 2027 (7 d ago).
The 2 reliable analysts
$177+22 %
The 5 other firms
$170+17 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 2 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $177 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 8 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy675%
Hold113%
Sell113%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 TOL price target all
All 150 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 150 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on TOL most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in TOL? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Toll Brothers? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Toll Brothers dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
0.64%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend — 5 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$1.01 per share per year.
📈 Toll Brothers fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 11.9Net margin 11.1 %Revenue growth -9.7 %Low P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 13 %
2023
Rev −3%Profit +7%
2024
Rev +9%Profit +15%
2025
Rev +1%Profit −14%
🔎 Detailed analyses
🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Toll Brothers (TOL)?
1 Congress member has disclosed TOL buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Susie Lee 2× · 43%
✅ Historical analyst reliability on TOL
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seaport Global ↗ | 100% | +34.8% | 3 |
| Buckingham Research | 100% | +31.2% | 2 |
| Wedbush ↗ | 83% | +20.4% | 6 |
| Evercore ISI Group ↗ | 80% | +25.5% | 5 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 76% | +28.4% | 21 |
| RBC Capital ↗ | 71% | +19.2% | 14 |
| UBS ↗ | 70% | +37.4% | 10 |
| Credit Suisse | 67% | +39.6% | 6 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 67% | +30.6% | 6 |
| Oppenheimer ↗ | 64% | +34.2% | 14 |
See the other 9 firms
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 33% | -25.4% | 9 |
| Keybanc ↗ | 33% | -9.4% | 3 |
| Susquehanna ↗ | 33% | -6.5% | 3 |
| Barclays ↗ | 35% | -20.5% | 20 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 40% | -5.9% | 10 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ | 43% | +20.6% | 7 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 50% | +1.6% | 2 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 57% | +14.5% | 14 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 63% | +21.9% | 19 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Toll Brothers would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Toll Brothers 10 years ago would be worth $4,947 today, i.e. +17%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+106%), worst: 2018 (-31%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Toll Brothers
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,308 | +31% |
| 3 years ago | $3,300 | +230% |
| 5 years ago | $3,790 | +279% |
Return by year (Toll Brothers)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +22% | $1,218 (+22%) |
| 2025 | +7% | $1,308 (+31%) |
| 2024 | +23% | $1,603 (+60%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Toll Brothers
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📋 All analyst calls on TOL
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
▲ Buy · 🎯$179
Price at call : $147.45 — upside +21%
Today : $145.13 — upside +23%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 27
matures : Aug 21, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Aug 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $147.09 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside +17%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 27
matures : Aug 20, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $147.09 — upside +33%
Today : $145.13 — upside +34%
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 27
matures : Aug 20, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Aug 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$191
Price at call : $147.09 — upside +30%
Today : $145.13 — upside +32%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -5.4% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 27
matures : Aug 20, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$122
Price at call : $152.53 — upside -20%
Today : $145.13 — upside -16%
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
matures : Jul 14, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$176
Price at call : $149.49 — upside +18%
Today : $145.13 — upside +21%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 27
matures : Jul 10, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jun 11, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$158
Price at call : $147.1 — upside +7%
Today : $145.13 — upside +9%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 11, 27
matures : Jun 11, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jun 9, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$161
Price at call : $138.9 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside +11%
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 9, 27
matures : Jun 9, 27
See the other 142 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Buy · 🎯$187
Price at call : $134.33 — upside +39%
Today : $145.13 — upside +29%
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 27
matures : May 21, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
May 21, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$185
Price at call : $134.33 — upside +38%
Today : $145.13 — upside +27%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -5.4% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 27
matures : May 21, 27
Truist Securities ↗
May 21, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $134.33 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 27
matures : May 21, 27
RBC Capital ↗
May 21, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$158
Price at call : $134.33 — upside +18%
Today : $145.13 — upside +9%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 27
matures : May 21, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Apr 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $146.68 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside +17%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
matures : Apr 16, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Apr 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$176
Price at call : $141.31 — upside +25%
Today : $145.13 — upside +21%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -5.4% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 27
matures : Apr 13, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $140.23 — upside -18%
Today : $145.13 — upside -21%
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
matures : Apr 8, 27
Seaport Global ↗
Apr 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TOL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +6.7% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$162
Price at call : $157.24 — gap to target +3%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 26, 27
matures : Feb 26, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 25, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $157.11 — gap to target +8%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +17%
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 25, 27
matures : Feb 25, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$143
Price at call : $159.63 — upside -10%
Today : $145.13 — upside -1%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 23, 27
matures : Feb 23, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$198
Price at call : $162 — upside +22%
Today : $145.13 — upside +36%
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Oppenheimer ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$180
Price at call : $162 — upside +11%
Today : $145.13 — upside +24%
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$161
Price at call : $162 — upside -1%
Today : $145.13 — upside +11%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Feb 19, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$174
Price at call : $162 — gap to target +7%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -5.4% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$185
Price at call : $162 — upside +14%
Today : $145.13 — upside +27%
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Citizens
Feb 18, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$175
Price at call : $160 — upside +9%
Today : $145.13 — upside +21%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 27
matures : Feb 18, 27
Oppenheimer ↗
Feb 10, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$177
Price at call : $161.47 — upside +10%
Today : $145.13 — upside +22%
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 10, 27
matures : Feb 10, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$170
Price at call : $149.04 — upside +14%
Today : $145.13 — upside +17%
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
matures : Jan 14, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$156
Price at call : $144.92 — gap to target +8%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
matures : Jan 13, 27
Citizens
Jan 7, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$175
Price at call : $134.8 — upside +30%
Today : $145.13 — upside +21%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
matures : Jan 7, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$141
Price at call : $140.46 — upside +0%
Today : $145.13 — upside -3%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
matures : Dec 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$141
Price at call : $139.15 — gap to target +1%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
matures : Dec 11, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $139.15 — upside -21%
Today : $145.13 — upside -24%
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
matures : Dec 11, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Dec 11, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$143
Price at call : $139.82 — gap to target +2%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
matures : Dec 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$181
Price at call : $139.82 — upside +29%
Today : $145.13 — upside +25%
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
matures : Dec 10, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Dec 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$144
Price at call : $139.82 — upside +3%
Today : $145.13 — upside -1%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
matures : Dec 10, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$161
Price at call : $141.06 — upside +14%
Today : $145.13 — upside +11%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
matures : Dec 4, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $127.67 — upside +17%
Today : $145.13 — upside +3%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
matures : Oct 10, 26
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Oct 7, 25
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $132.15 — gap to target +21%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -5.4% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 26
matures : Oct 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$147
Price at call : $139.55 — gap to target +5%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 26
matures : Oct 1, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Sep 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $139.69 — upside +11%
Today : $145.13 — upside +7%
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 26
matures : Sep 18, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $147.37 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
🎯 on TOL : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +6.8% (244 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 5, 26
matures : Sep 5, 26
Argus Research ↗
Sep 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $147.37 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
🎯 on TOL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.3% · -2.0% (31 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 5, 26
matures : Sep 5, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 28, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $139 — gap to target +4%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 28, 26
matures : Aug 28, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $137.7 — upside +20%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
Expected +20% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +6.8% (244 calls)
+7.6%
stock +8% · XLY +0%
matured Aug 26, 26
Raymond James ↗
Aug 25, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $137.7 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside +10%
Expected +16% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+7.6%
stock +8% · XLY +0%
matured Aug 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$138
Price at call : $137.7 — gap to target +0%
Today : $145.13 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on TOL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.6% (319 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 25, 26
matures : Aug 25, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $139.17 — upside +15%
Today : $145.13 — upside +10%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 21, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 21, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$145
Price at call : $139.17 — upside +4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -0%
Expected +4% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 21, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Aug 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $131.43 — upside +10%
Today : $145.13 — upside -0%
Expected +10% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+10.4%
stock +10% · XLY +3%
matured Aug 19, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $132.18 — upside +13%
Today : $145.13 — upside +3%
Expected +13% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+12.4%
stock +12% · XLY +3%
matured Aug 18, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $128.29 — upside +29%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
Expected +29% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +6.8% (244 calls)
+15.8%
stock +16% · XLY +4%
matured Aug 12, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 1, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $124.99 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside -4%
Expected +12% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+20.4%
stock +20% · XLY +8%
matured Aug 1, 26
Seaport Global ↗
Jul 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$161
Price at call : $126.75 — upside +27%
Today : $145.13 — upside +11%
Expected +27% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +6.7% (28 calls)
+15.6%
stock +16% · XLY -4%
matured Jul 23, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$135
Price at call : $117 — upside +15%
Today : $145.13 — upside -7%
Expected +15% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+24.4%
stock +24% · XLY +6%
matured Jul 8, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 27, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$130
Price at call : $114.3 — upside +14%
Today : $145.13 — upside -10%
Expected +14% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+44.3%
stock +44% · XLY +7%
matured Jun 27, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 3, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$125
Price at call : $105.48 — upside +19%
Today : $145.13 — upside -14%
Expected +19% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+30.3%
stock +30% · XLY +8%
matured Jun 3, 26
Raymond James ↗
May 23, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $107.93 — upside +20%
Today : $145.13 — upside -10%
Expected +20% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+27.7%
stock +28% · XLY +10%
matured May 23, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
May 22, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$130
Price at call : $104.14 — upside +25%
Today : $145.13 — upside -10%
Expected +25% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+29.0%
stock +29% · XLY +12%
matured May 22, 26
RBC Capital ↗
May 16, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$133
Price at call : $106.05 — upside +25%
Today : $145.13 — upside -8%
Expected +25% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+19.7%
stock +20% · XLY +7%
matured May 16, 26
Oppenheimer ↗
May 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$155
Price at call : $107.26 — upside +45%
Today : $145.13 — upside +7%
Expected +45% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+18.4%
stock +18% · XLY +7%
matured May 15, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$175
Price at call : $107.26 — upside +63%
Today : $145.13 — upside +21%
Expected +63% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +6.8% (244 calls)
+18.4%
stock +18% · XLY +7%
matured May 15, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$132
Price at call : $92.13 — upside +43%
Today : $145.13 — upside -9%
Expected +43% · Actual +60% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+59.9%
stock +60% · XLY +33%
matured Apr 18, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$120
Price at call : $94.03 — upside +28%
Today : $145.13 — upside -17%
Expected +28% · Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+49.0%
stock +49% · XLY +25%
matured Apr 14, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$92
Price at call : $95.5 — upside -4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -37%
Expected -4% · Actual +47% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-46.8%
stock +47% · XLY +15%
matured Apr 8, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$101
Price at call : $114.6 — upside -12%
Today : $145.13 — upside -30%
Expected -12% · Actual +37% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-37.1%
stock +37% · XLY +8%
matured Feb 25, 26
Oppenheimer ↗
Feb 20, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $111.48 — upside +48%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
Expected +48% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+42.1%
stock +42% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 20, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$139
Price at call : $111.48 — upside +25%
Today : $145.13 — upside -4%
Expected +25% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+42.1%
stock +42% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$183
Price at call : $111.48 — upside +64%
Today : $145.13 — upside +26%
Expected +64% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+42.1%
stock +42% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 20, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $115.15 — upside +30%
Today : $145.13 — upside +3%
Expected +30% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+40.7%
stock +41% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 20, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $115.15 — upside +22%
Today : $145.13 — upside -4%
Expected +22% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+40.7%
stock +41% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 27, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$156
Price at call : $137.62 — upside +13%
Today : $145.13 — upside +7%
Expected +13% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+5.4%
stock +5% · XLY +5%
matured Jan 27, 26
Seaport Global ↗
Jan 27, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TOL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +6.7% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 26
matures : Jan 27, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $135.16 — upside -15%
Today : $145.13 — upside -21%
Expected -15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-6.4%
stock +6% · XLY +4%
matured Jan 16, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Jan 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$142
Price at call : $123.54 — upside +15%
Today : $145.13 — upside -2%
Expected +15% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+18.9%
stock +19% · XLY +13%
matured Jan 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $123.54 — upside +50%
Today : $145.13 — upside +27%
Expected +50% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+17.7%
stock +18% · XLY +13%
matured Jan 8, 26
Oppenheimer ↗
Dec 12, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$189
Price at call : $133.85 — upside +41%
Today : $145.13 — upside +30%
Expected +41% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+4.9%
stock +5% · XLY +3%
matured Dec 12, 25
RBC Capital ↗
Dec 11, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$150
Price at call : $138.46 — upside +8%
Today : $145.13 — upside +3%
Expected +8% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+0.5%
stock +1% · XLY +3%
matured Dec 11, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Oct 4, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$189
Price at call : $150.49 — upside +26%
Today : $145.13 — upside +30%
Expected +26% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
-6.5%
stock -6% · XLY +23%
matured Oct 4, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Oct 2, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$189
Price at call : $153.74 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside +30%
Expected +23% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
-7.2%
stock -7% · XLY +22%
matured Oct 2, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Sep 27, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$170
Price at call : $154.49 — upside +10%
Today : $145.13 — upside +17%
Expected +10% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
-10.5%
stock -10% · XLY +20%
matured Sep 27, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Sep 19, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $150.44 — upside +10%
Today : $145.13 — upside +14%
Expected +10% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
-9.4%
stock -9% · XLY +22%
matured Sep 19, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 26, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$168
Price at call : $143.74 — upside +17%
Today : $145.13 — upside +16%
Expected +17% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
-4.0%
stock -4% · XLY +26%
matured Aug 26, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 26, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$163
Price at call : $144.9 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside +12%
Expected +12% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
-5.0%
stock -5% · XLY +25%
matured Aug 26, 25
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 22, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$143
Price at call : $148.72 — upside -4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -1%
Expected -4% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
-6.8%
stock -7% · XLY +24%
matured Aug 22, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 22, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $148.72 — upside +8%
Today : $145.13 — upside +10%
Expected +8% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
-6.8%
stock -7% · XLY +24%
matured Aug 22, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$135
Price at call : $148.72 — upside -9%
Today : $145.13 — upside -7%
Expected -9% · Actual -7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
+6.8%
stock -7% · XLY +24%
matured Aug 22, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Aug 22, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$168
Price at call : $141.27 — upside +19%
Today : $145.13 — upside +16%
Expected +19% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
-1.5%
stock -1% · XLY +26%
matured Aug 22, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Aug 22, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $141.27 — upside +13%
Today : $145.13 — upside +10%
Expected +13% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
-1.5%
stock -1% · XLY +26%
matured Aug 22, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 21, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$142
Price at call : $141.03 — upside +1%
Today : $145.13 — upside -2%
Expected +1% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
-6.7%
stock -7% · XLY +21%
matured Aug 21, 25
Seaport Global ↗
Aug 5, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$108
Price at call : $128.11 — upside -16%
Today : $145.13 — upside -26%
Expected -16% · Actual -1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +6.7% (28 calls)
+0.7%
stock -1% · XLY +28%
matured Aug 5, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$116
Price at call : $123.48 — upside -6%
Today : $145.13 — upside -20%
Expected -6% · Actual -3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
+3.4%
stock -3% · XLY +16%
matured Jul 12, 25
Argus Research ↗
Jun 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $117.09 — upside +20%
Today : $145.13 — upside -4%
Expected +20% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.3% · -2.0% (31 calls)
-6.5%
stock -6% · XLY +20%
matured Jun 6, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jun 4, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$142
Price at call : $117.08 — upside +21%
Today : $145.13 — upside -2%
Expected +21% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
-7.6%
stock -8% · XLY +22%
matured Jun 4, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$118
Price at call : $120.06 — upside -2%
Today : $145.13 — upside -19%
Expected -2% · Actual -13% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
+13.2%
stock -13% · XLY +23%
matured May 28, 25
Raymond James ↗
May 23, 24
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $122.91 — upside +18%
Today : $145.13 — upside -0%
Expected +18% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
-12.2%
stock -12% · XLY +24%
matured May 23, 25
RBC Capital ↗
May 23, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$130
Price at call : $122.91 — upside +6%
Today : $145.13 — upside -10%
Expected +6% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
-12.2%
stock -12% · XLY +24%
matured May 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$154
Price at call : $122.91 — upside +25%
Today : $145.13 — upside +6%
Expected +25% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
-12.2%
stock -12% · XLY +24%
matured May 23, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Mar 21, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$157
Price at call : $126.53 — upside +24%
Today : $145.13 — upside +8%
Expected +24% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
-16.1%
stock -16% · XLY +7%
matured Mar 21, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 28, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$135
Price at call : $114.64 — upside +18%
Today : $145.13 — upside -7%
Expected +18% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
-2.6%
stock -3% · XLY +17%
matured Feb 27, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $112.56 — upside +2%
Today : $145.13 — upside -21%
Expected +2% · Actual +2% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-1.8%
stock +2% · XLY +19%
matured Feb 25, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Feb 23, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$141
Price at call : $111.3 — upside +27%
Today : $145.13 — upside -3%
Expected +27% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
-0.7%
stock -1% · XLY +20%
matured Feb 22, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Feb 22, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$96
Price at call : $109.85 — upside -13%
Today : $145.13 — upside -34%
Expected -13% · Actual +1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-1.5%
stock +1% · XLY +20%
matured Feb 21, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 11, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$94
Price at call : $103.64 — upside -9%
Today : $145.13 — upside -35%
Expected -9% · Actual +19% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-19.2%
stock +19% · XLY +25%
matured Jan 10, 25
Oppenheimer ↗
Dec 12, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $92.41 — upside +30%
Today : $145.13 — upside -17%
Expected +30% · Actual +54% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+54.1%
stock +54% · XLY +36%
matured Dec 11, 24
Raymond James ↗
Dec 8, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $92.86 — upside +29%
Today : $145.13 — upside -17%
Expected +29% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+68.5%
stock +69% · XLY +34%
matured Dec 7, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Dec 7, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$97
Price at call : $92.86 — upside +4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -33%
Expected +4% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+68.5%
stock +69% · XLY +34%
matured Dec 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$112
Price at call : $92.86 — upside +21%
Today : $145.13 — upside -23%
Expected +21% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+68.5%
stock +69% · XLY +34%
matured Dec 6, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
Dec 7, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$78
Price at call : $92.86 — upside -16%
Today : $145.13 — upside -46%
Expected -16% · Actual +69% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-68.5%
stock +69% · XLY +34%
matured Dec 6, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$95
Price at call : $91.16 — upside +4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -35%
Expected +4% · Actual +69% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-69.0%
stock +69% · XLY +35%
matured Dec 6, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $71.73 — upside +3%
Today : $145.13 — upside -49%
Expected +3% · Actual +114% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-114.2%
stock +114% · XLY +24%
matured Oct 11, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 24, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $77.4 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside -38%
Expected +16% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+87.2%
stock +87% · XLY +13%
matured Aug 23, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$107
Price at call : $77.4 — upside +38%
Today : $145.13 — upside -26%
Expected +38% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+87.2%
stock +87% · XLY +13%
matured Aug 23, 24
Oppenheimer ↗
Aug 24, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$110
Price at call : $78.07 — upside +41%
Today : $145.13 — upside -24%
Expected +41% · Actual +91% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+90.5%
stock +91% · XLY +15%
matured Aug 23, 24
Raymond James ↗
Aug 24, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $78.07 — upside +41%
Today : $145.13 — upside -24%
Expected +41% · Actual +91% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+90.5%
stock +91% · XLY +15%
matured Aug 23, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$81
Price at call : $78.07 — upside +4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -44%
Expected +4% · Actual +91% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-90.5%
stock +91% · XLY +15%
matured Aug 23, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
Aug 24, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$75
Price at call : $78.07 — upside -4%
Today : $145.13 — upside -48%
Expected -4% · Actual +91% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-90.5%
stock +91% · XLY +15%
matured Aug 23, 24
Raymond James ↗
Jul 14, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $83.52 — upside +20%
Today : $145.13 — upside -31%
Expected +20% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+47.8%
stock +48% · XLY +9%
matured Jul 13, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 13, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$70
Price at call : $81.98 — upside -15%
Today : $145.13 — upside -52%
Expected -15% · Actual +50% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-50.2%
stock +50% · XLY +10%
matured Jul 12, 24
Oppenheimer ↗
Jul 6, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$99
Price at call : $76.81 — upside +29%
Today : $145.13 — upside -32%
Expected +29% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+44.2%
stock +44% · XLY +12%
matured Jul 5, 24
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 31, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$83
Price at call : $67.7 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside -43%
Expected +23% · Actual +78% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
+78.3%
stock +78% · XLY +15%
matured May 30, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 26, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$57
Price at call : $68.04 — upside -16%
Today : $145.13 — upside -61%
Expected -16% · Actual +76% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-76.5%
stock +76% · XLY +15%
matured May 25, 24
B of A Securities ↗
May 25, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $68.04 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside -48%
Expected +12% · Actual +76% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+76.5%
stock +76% · XLY +15%
matured May 24, 24
Oppenheimer ↗
May 25, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $68.13 — upside +17%
Today : $145.13 — upside -45%
Expected +17% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.8% · -2.7% (67 calls)
+80.4%
stock +80% · XLY +18%
matured May 24, 24
Raymond James ↗
May 25, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$77
Price at call : $68.13 — upside +13%
Today : $145.13 — upside -47%
Expected +13% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+80.4%
stock +80% · XLY +18%
matured May 24, 24
RBC Capital ↗
May 25, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$77
Price at call : $68.13 — upside +13%
Today : $145.13 — upside -47%
Expected +13% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
+80.4%
stock +80% · XLY +18%
matured May 24, 24
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 23, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.88 — upside +19%
Today : $145.13 — upside -52%
Expected +19% · Actual +89% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+89.0%
stock +89% · XLY +24%
matured Feb 23, 24
Raymond James ↗
Feb 23, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$67
Price at call : $58.88 — upside +14%
Today : $145.13 — upside -54%
Expected +14% · Actual +89% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+89.0%
stock +89% · XLY +24%
matured Feb 23, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$73
Price at call : $58.88 — upside +24%
Today : $145.13 — upside -50%
Expected +24% · Actual +89% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+89.0%
stock +89% · XLY +24%
matured Feb 23, 24
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 11, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $55.45 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside -53%
Expected +23% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+86.9%
stock +87% · XLY +27%
matured Jan 11, 24
Raymond James ↗
Jan 9, 23
▲ Outperform
Actual +90% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+90.3%
stock +90% · XLY +32%
matured Jan 9, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $49.46 — upside +1%
Today : $145.13 — upside -66%
Expected +1% · Actual +88% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-87.8%
stock +88% · XLY +24%
matured Dec 8, 23
Raymond James ↗
Aug 29, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$56
Price at call : $45.35 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside -61%
Expected +23% · Actual +74% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+74.1%
stock +74% · XLY +7%
matured Aug 29, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $41.58 — upside +42%
Today : $145.13 — upside -59%
Expected +42% · Actual +77% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+76.7%
stock +77% · XLY +24%
matured Jun 16, 23
Raymond James ↗
May 31, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $50.47 — upside +49%
Today : $145.13 — upside -48%
Expected +49% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+34.1%
stock +34% · XLY -2%
matured May 31, 23
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 28, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $54.26 — upside +16%
Today : $145.13 — upside -57%
Expected +16% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
+10.5%
stock +10% · XLY -18%
matured Feb 28, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $54.26 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside -58%
Expected +12% · Actual +10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 25% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-10.5%
stock +10% · XLY -18%
matured Feb 28, 23
Raymond James ↗
Feb 25, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$82
Price at call : $53.62 — upside +53%
Today : $145.13 — upside -43%
Expected +53% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 92% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+10.4%
stock +10% · XLY -17%
matured Feb 25, 23
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 27, 22
▼ Underperform · 🎯$61
Price at call : $54.89 — upside +11%
Today : $145.13 — upside -58%
Expected +11% · Actual +5% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
-4.5%
stock +5% · XLY -15%
matured Jan 27, 23
RBC Capital ↗
Dec 9, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $72.72 — upside +3%
Today : $145.13 — upside -48%
Expected +3% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
-33.0%
stock -33% · XLY -32%
matured Dec 9, 22
Goldman Sachs ↗
Dec 9, 21
▼ Sell · 🎯$60
Price at call : $72.72 — upside -17%
Today : $145.13 — upside -59%
Expected -17% · Actual -33% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
+33.0%
stock -33% · XLY -32%
matured Dec 9, 22
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 26, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$76
Price at call : $64.44 — upside +18%
Today : $145.13 — upside -48%
Expected +18% · Actual -30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
-29.6%
stock -30% · XLY -13%
matured Aug 26, 22
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jun 30, 21
▼ Sell · 🎯$55
Price at call : $57.81 — upside -5%
Today : $145.13 — upside -62%
Expected -5% · Actual -23% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
+22.9%
stock -23% · XLY -23%
matured Jun 30, 22
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 27, 21
▼ Sell · 🎯$59
Price at call : $65.07 — upside -9%
Today : $145.13 — upside -59%
Expected -9% · Actual -21% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 33% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
+21.5%
stock -21% · XLY -11%
matured May 27, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $43.99 — upside +41%
Today : $145.13 — upside -57%
Expected +41% · Actual +65% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
+65.3%
stock +65% · XLY +30%
matured Dec 9, 21
B of A Securities ↗
Aug 27, 20
▼ Underperform · 🎯$43
Price at call : $42.96 — upside +0%
Today : $145.13 — upside -70%
Expected +0% · Actual +48% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +1.2% (315 calls)
-48.4%
stock +48% · XLY +22%
matured Aug 27, 21
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jun 30, 20
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $32.59 — upside +23%
Today : $145.13 — upside -72%
Expected +23% · Actual +77% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
+77.4%
stock +77% · XLY +40%
matured Jun 30, 21
Maxim Group
May 23, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $40.04 — upside +32%
Today : $145.13 — upside -63%
Expected +32% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60% · +0.9% (5 calls)
-9.3%
stock -9% · XLY +7%
matured May 23, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $44.73 — upside +12%
Today : $145.13 — upside -66%
Expected +12% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
-32.1%
stock -32% · XLY +18%
matured Oct 25, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $39.22 — upside +22%
Today : $145.13 — upside -67%
Expected +22% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.7% · +1.4% (213 calls)
-28.4%
stock -28% · XLY +5%
matured Aug 11, 16
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 19, 13
▲ Outperform
Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TOL : 43% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 22.2% · -3.4% (9 calls)
+9.8%
stock +10% · XLY +20%
matured Apr 19, 14
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Toll Brothers stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Toll Brothers, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $170 (+17% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Toll Brothers). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Toll Brothers? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Toll Brothers is $195 (+34% above today's price); the average is $170. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Toll Brothers on our site before trusting it.
Is Toll Brothers still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 19 analysts have a real record on Toll Brothers, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Toll Brothers? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in TOL (and why hesitate).
What has Toll Brothers's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: TOL performance & returns.
Does Toll Brothers pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: TOL's dividend.
What is the best month to buy TOL?
The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy TOL.
Are insiders buying TOL stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on TOL.
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